Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.073606 0.081626 0.090445 0.100912 0.113064 0.126809 0.143648
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.061063 0.071766 0.084508 0.101003 0.122103 0.148628 0.185220
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.053241 0.065439 0.080898 0.102382 0.132233 0.173475 0.237144
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.047617 0.060654 0.078036 0.103669 0.141932 0.199515 0.298475
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.043256 0.056738 0.075484 0.104569 0.150813 0.226070 0.369466
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.039536 0.053126 0.072699 0.104407 0.157692 0.250784 0.446465
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.036206 0.049631 0.069539 0.102996 0.161990 0.271828 0.524973
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.034221 0.047863 0.068705 0.105088 0.172602 0.307352 0.652429
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.031742 0.045077 0.065915 0.103380 0.175761 0.328634 0.756861
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.030121 0.043457 0.064800 0.104392 0.184303 0.364061 0.923106
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.028380 0.041483 0.062872 0.103609 0.188978 0.391981 1.087303
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.027228 0.040362 0.062260 0.105189 0.198985 0.436647 1.350682
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026099 0.039209 0.061522 0.106507 0.208957 0.485955 1.693375
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024817 0.037702 0.060011 0.106077 0.214818 0.526298 2.053674
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023881 0.036716 0.059352 0.107324 0.225146 0.585527 2.622481
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.023029 0.035808 0.058749 0.108599 0.235900 0.652028 3.395373
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022204 0.034887 0.058030 0.109515 0.245966 0.722067 4.413883
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021321 0.033800 0.056893 0.109325 0.252922 0.784536 5.614859
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020367 0.032523 0.055278 0.107818 0.255704 0.831676 6.883197
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019871 0.032055 0.055232 0.110040 0.270520 0.944321 9.892578
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.019012 0.030859 0.053616 0.108221 0.272078 0.993868 12.280998
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.018486 0.030258 0.053177 0.109297 0.283590 1.106325 17.762189
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017823 0.029358 0.052046 0.108465 0.288420 1.185988 24.023441